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Presidents › Donald Trump (2nd term)

Debt to GDP under Donald Trump (2nd term)

Federal debt (% of GDP) · Republican · Jan 20, 2025 – present

So far under Donald Trump (2nd term), federal debt as a share of GDP has gone from 121.4% in Q4 2024 to 122.6% in Q1 2026, up 1.2 pts. That is +0.93 pts/yr, against −1.05 pts/yr in the four years before.

BidenJoe Biden (Democratic)TrumpDonald Trump (2nd term) (Republican)114%116%118%120%122%124%20222023202420252026Mar 11, 2021 · Law: American Rescue PlanJul 4, 2025 · Law: One Big Beautiful Bill Act

Total public debt (including debt held by federal trust funds) as a share of GDP. Source: Office of Management and Budget / Fed. Reserve Bank of St. Louis, via FRED GFDEGDQ188S. Quarterly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026. The chart runs from four years before the term to two years after it.

Debt to GDP under Trump, year by year

Highest reading during the term: 122.6% in Q1 2026. Lowest: 118.8% in Q2 2025.

PeriodValueChange
Q4 2024, before inauguration121.4%
Q4 2025122.6%+1.1 pts
Q1 2026122.6%0.0 pts

Debt to GDP under every president

Terms sorted by yearly change, fastest rise first, each next to the trend over the four years before it. A term's first year mostly reflects the previous administration's policies, and Congress, the Fed and the world economy move this number too. Why nothing here is a score.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
104.6% → 125.6%
+5.24 pts/yr
+1.14 pts/yr
Barack Obama
2009–2017
73.2% → 104.6%
+3.93 pts/yr
+3.15 pts/yr
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
49.7% → 62.5%
+3.20 pts/yr
+2.41 pts/yr
George W. Bush
2001–2009
54.3% → 73.2%
+2.37 pts/yr
−2.55 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
31.2% → 49.7%
+2.32 pts/yr
−0.66 pts/yr
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–present
121.4% → 122.6%
+0.93 pts/yr · through Q1 2026
−1.05 pts/yr
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
33.8% → 31.2%
−0.66 pts/yr
+0.01 pts/yr
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
62.5% → 54.3%
−1.03 pts/yr
+3.20 pts/yr
Joe Biden
2021–2025
125.6% → 121.4%
−1.05 pts/yr
+5.24 pts/yr

Every term lined up from inauguration day on one chart · Federal debt by president since 1980

Events during the term that bear on debt to gdp

  1. Jul 4, 2025 Law
    One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Makes the 2017 individual tax cuts permanent, adds new deductions and cuts Medicaid and SNAP spending.

More under Donald Trump (2nd term)