Govargus

Compare

Federal debt (% of GDP), term by term

Every term lined up from its inauguration. Context is everything: compare the start of a term with the trend it inherited and with what was happening in the world (recessions, pandemics), all of which are on the full federal debt (% of gdp) chart.

Highlight up to three terms
−20−100+10+20+30+40Inauguration12345678Years in officeJimmy CarterCarter ’77–’81Ronald ReaganReagan ’81–’89George H. W. BushBush ’89–’93Bill ClintonClinton ’93–’01George W. BushBush ’01–’09Barack ObamaObama ’09–’17Donald Trump (1st term)Trump ’17–’21Joe BidenBiden ’21–’25Donald Trump (2nd term)Trump ’25– (so far)

Change since the last full quarter before inauguration, so every term starts at zero. Second terms continue past year 4.

Of the 8 completed terms with data, federal debt as a share of GDP rose fastest under Donald Trump (1st term), at +5.24 pts/yr against +1.14 pts/yr in the four years before, and fell fastest under Joe Biden, at −1.05 pts/yr against +5.24 pts/yr in the four years before. So far under Donald Trump (2nd term), it has gone from 121.4% in Q4 2024 to 122.6% in Q1 2026.

Numbers

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Donald Trump (2nd term)121.4% → 122.6%
+0.93 pts/yr · through Q1 2026
−1.05 pts/yr
Joe Biden125.6% → 121.4%
−1.05 pts/yr
+5.24 pts/yr
Donald Trump (1st term)104.6% → 125.6%
+5.24 pts/yr
+1.14 pts/yr
Barack Obama73.2% → 104.6%
+3.93 pts/yr
+3.15 pts/yr
George W. Bush54.3% → 73.2%
+2.37 pts/yr
−2.55 pts/yr
Bill Clinton62.5% → 54.3%
−1.03 pts/yr
+3.20 pts/yr
George H. W. Bush49.7% → 62.5%
+3.20 pts/yr
+2.41 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan31.2% → 49.7%
+2.32 pts/yr
−0.66 pts/yr
Jimmy Carter33.8% → 31.2%
−0.66 pts/yr
+0.01 pts/yr