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Debt to GDP under Barack Obama

Federal debt (% of GDP) · Democratic · Jan 20, 2009 – Jan 20, 2017

Under Barack Obama, federal debt as a share of GDP went from 73.2% in Q4 2008 to 104.6% in Q4 2016, up 31.4 pts. That is +3.93 pts/yr, against +3.15 pts/yr in the four years before. Ranked by yearly change, it is the 2nd-fastest rise of the 8 completed terms since 1977.

BushGeorge W. Bush (Republican)ObamaBarack Obama (Democratic)TrumpDonald Trump (1st term) (Republican)Recession (NBER)50%60%70%80%90%100%110%2006200820102012201420162018Oct 3, 2008 · Law: TARP bank rescue (EESA)Feb 17, 2009 · Law: American Recovery and Reinvestment ActDec 22, 2017 · Law: Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

Total public debt (including debt held by federal trust funds) as a share of GDP. Source: Office of Management and Budget / Fed. Reserve Bank of St. Louis, via FRED GFDEGDQ188S. Quarterly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026. The chart runs from four years before the term to two years after it.

Debt to GDP under Obama, year by year

Highest reading during the term: 104.6% in Q4 2016. Lowest: 73.2% in Q4 2008.

PeriodValueChange
Q4 2008, before inauguration73.2%
Q4 200984.0%+10.8 pts
Q4 201091.6%+7.6 pts
Q4 201196.1%+4.5 pts
Q4 2012100.1%+4.0 pts
Q4 201399.8%−0.3 pts
Q4 2014101.3%+1.5 pts
Q4 2015102.6%+1.4 pts
Q4 2016104.6%+2.0 pts

Debt to GDP under every president

Terms sorted by yearly change, fastest rise first, each next to the trend over the four years before it. A term's first year mostly reflects the previous administration's policies, and Congress, the Fed and the world economy move this number too. Why nothing here is a score.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
104.6% → 125.6%
+5.24 pts/yr
+1.14 pts/yr
Barack Obama
2009–2017
73.2% → 104.6%
+3.93 pts/yr
+3.15 pts/yr
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
49.7% → 62.5%
+3.20 pts/yr
+2.41 pts/yr
George W. Bush
2001–2009
54.3% → 73.2%
+2.37 pts/yr
−2.55 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
31.2% → 49.7%
+2.32 pts/yr
−0.66 pts/yr
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–present
121.4% → 122.6%
+0.93 pts/yr · through Q1 2026
−1.05 pts/yr
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
33.8% → 31.2%
−0.66 pts/yr
+0.01 pts/yr
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
62.5% → 54.3%
−1.03 pts/yr
+3.20 pts/yr
Joe Biden
2021–2025
125.6% → 121.4%
−1.05 pts/yr
+5.24 pts/yr

Every term lined up from inauguration day on one chart · Federal debt by president since 1980

Events during the term that bear on debt to gdp

  1. Feb 17, 2009 Law
    American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. About $800 billion in stimulus: tax cuts, aid to states, infrastructure and safety-net spending.

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