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Debt to GDP under Donald Trump (1st term)

Federal debt (% of GDP) · Republican · Jan 20, 2017 – Jan 20, 2021

Under Donald Trump (1st term), federal debt as a share of GDP went from 104.6% in Q4 2016 to 125.6% in Q4 2020, up 21.0 pts. That is +5.24 pts/yr, against +1.14 pts/yr in the four years before. Ranked by yearly change, it is the fastest rise of the 8 completed terms since 1977.

ObamaBarack Obama (Democratic)TrumpDonald Trump (1st term) (Republican)BidenJoe Biden (Democratic)Recession (NBER)90%100%110%120%130%140%20142016201820202022Dec 22, 2017 · Law: Tax Cuts and Jobs ActMar 27, 2020 · Law: CARES ActMar 11, 2021 · Law: American Rescue Plan

Total public debt (including debt held by federal trust funds) as a share of GDP. Source: Office of Management and Budget / Fed. Reserve Bank of St. Louis, via FRED GFDEGDQ188S. Quarterly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026. The chart runs from four years before the term to two years after it.

Debt to GDP under Trump, year by year

Highest reading during the term: 132.7% in Q2 2020. Lowest: 102.1% in Q2 2017.

PeriodValueChange
Q4 2016, before inauguration104.6%
Q4 2017102.3%−2.4 pts
Q4 2018105.0%+2.8 pts
Q4 2019105.8%+0.7 pts
Q4 2020125.6%+19.8 pts

Debt to GDP under every president

Terms sorted by yearly change, fastest rise first, each next to the trend over the four years before it. A term's first year mostly reflects the previous administration's policies, and Congress, the Fed and the world economy move this number too. Why nothing here is a score.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
104.6% → 125.6%
+5.24 pts/yr
+1.14 pts/yr
Barack Obama
2009–2017
73.2% → 104.6%
+3.93 pts/yr
+3.15 pts/yr
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
49.7% → 62.5%
+3.20 pts/yr
+2.41 pts/yr
George W. Bush
2001–2009
54.3% → 73.2%
+2.37 pts/yr
−2.55 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
31.2% → 49.7%
+2.32 pts/yr
−0.66 pts/yr
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–present
121.4% → 122.6%
+0.93 pts/yr · through Q1 2026
−1.05 pts/yr
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
33.8% → 31.2%
−0.66 pts/yr
+0.01 pts/yr
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
62.5% → 54.3%
−1.03 pts/yr
+3.20 pts/yr
Joe Biden
2021–2025
125.6% → 121.4%
−1.05 pts/yr
+5.24 pts/yr

Every term lined up from inauguration day on one chart · Federal debt by president since 1980

Events during the term that bear on debt to gdp

  1. Dec 22, 2017 Law
    Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Corporate rate cut from 35% to 21%, temporary individual rate cuts, and the ACA's individual-mandate penalty set to zero from 2019.
  2. Mar 27, 2020 Law
    CARES Act. About $2.2 trillion in relief: stimulus checks, expanded unemployment benefits and the Paycheck Protection Program.

More under Donald Trump (1st term)