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Debt to GDP under Ronald Reagan

Federal debt (% of GDP) · Republican · Jan 20, 1981 – Jan 20, 1989

Under Ronald Reagan, federal debt as a share of GDP went from 31.2% in Q4 1980 to 49.7% in Q4 1988, up 18.6 pts. That is +2.32 pts/yr, against −0.66 pts/yr in the four years before. Ranked by yearly change, it is 5th of the 8 completed terms since 1977, counting from the fastest rise.

CarterJimmy Carter (Democratic)ReaganRonald Reagan (Republican)BushGeorge H. W. Bush (Republican)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%1978198019821984198619881990Aug 13, 1981 · Law: Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981Nov 5, 1990 · Law: Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990

Total public debt (including debt held by federal trust funds) as a share of GDP. Source: Office of Management and Budget / Fed. Reserve Bank of St. Louis, via FRED GFDEGDQ188S. Quarterly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026. The chart runs from four years before the term to two years after it.

Debt to GDP under Reagan, year by year

Highest reading during the term: 49.7% in Q4 1988. Lowest: 30.6% in Q3 1981.

PeriodValueChange
Q4 1980, before inauguration31.2%
Q4 198131.4%+0.2 pts
Q4 198235.2%+3.8 pts
Q4 198337.2%+2.0 pts
Q4 198440.1%+2.9 pts
Q4 198543.8%+3.7 pts
Q4 198647.6%+3.8 pts
Q4 198748.6%+1.0 pts
Q4 198849.7%+1.2 pts

Debt to GDP under every president

Terms sorted by yearly change, fastest rise first, each next to the trend over the four years before it. A term's first year mostly reflects the previous administration's policies, and Congress, the Fed and the world economy move this number too. Why nothing here is a score.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
104.6% → 125.6%
+5.24 pts/yr
+1.14 pts/yr
Barack Obama
2009–2017
73.2% → 104.6%
+3.93 pts/yr
+3.15 pts/yr
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
49.7% → 62.5%
+3.20 pts/yr
+2.41 pts/yr
George W. Bush
2001–2009
54.3% → 73.2%
+2.37 pts/yr
−2.55 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
31.2% → 49.7%
+2.32 pts/yr
−0.66 pts/yr
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–present
121.4% → 122.6%
+0.93 pts/yr · through Q1 2026
−1.05 pts/yr
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
33.8% → 31.2%
−0.66 pts/yr
+0.01 pts/yr
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
62.5% → 54.3%
−1.03 pts/yr
+3.20 pts/yr
Joe Biden
2021–2025
125.6% → 121.4%
−1.05 pts/yr
+5.24 pts/yr

Every term lined up from inauguration day on one chart · Federal debt by president since 1980

Events during the term that bear on debt to gdp

  1. Aug 13, 1981 Law
    Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981. Cuts the top income tax rate from 70% to 50% and phases in broad rate cuts and indexing.

More under Ronald Reagan