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Presidents › Donald Trump (1st term)

Inflation under Donald Trump (1st term)

Inflation (CPI, year over year) · Republican · Jan 20, 2017 – Jan 20, 2021

Under Donald Trump (1st term), inflation averaged 1.9%, against 1.1% in the four years before. That is the 2nd-lowest average of the 8 completed terms since 1977.

ObamaBarack Obama (Democratic)TrumpDonald Trump (1st term) (Republican)BidenJoe Biden (Democratic)Recession (NBER)−2%0%2%4%6%8%10%20142016201820202022Jul 6, 2018 · Trade: Section 301 tariffs on China beginMar 11, 2021 · Law: American Rescue PlanMar 16, 2022 · Federal Reserve: Fed begins raising ratesAug 16, 2022 · Law: Inflation Reduction Act

Percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers versus the same month a year earlier. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED CPIAUCSL. Monthly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026. The chart runs from four years before the term to two years after it.

Inflation under Trump, year by year

Highest reading during the term: 2.9% in Jul 2018. Lowest: 0.2% in May 2020.

YearAverage
2017 (Feb–Dec)2.1%
20182.4%
20191.8%
20201.3%

Inflation under every president

Terms sorted by their average, highest first, each next to the average over the four years before it. A term's first year mostly reflects the previous administration's policies, and Congress, the Fed and the world economy move this number too. Why nothing here is a score.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
avg 9.8%avg 8.1%
Joe Biden
2021–2025
avg 5.0%avg 1.9%
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
avg 4.6%avg 9.8%
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
avg 4.4%avg 3.3%
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–present
avg 3.0% so faravg 5.0%
George W. Bush
2001–2009
avg 2.8%avg 2.3%
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
avg 2.6%avg 4.4%
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
avg 1.9%avg 1.1%
Barack Obama
2009–2017
avg 1.4%avg 3.3%

Every term lined up from inauguration day on one chart · Inflation by president since 1980

Events during the term that bear on inflation

  1. Jul 6, 2018 Trade
    Section 301 tariffs on China begin. First 25% tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese imports; China retaliates and the trade war escalates through 2019.

More under Donald Trump (1st term)