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Mortgage rates under Jimmy Carter

30-year mortgage rate · Democratic · Jan 20, 1977 – Jan 20, 1981

Under Jimmy Carter, the average 30-year mortgage rate went from 8.79% in Dec 1976 to 14.79% in Dec 1980, up 6.00 pts. That is +1.50 pts/yr, against +0.34 pts/yr in the four years before. Ranked by yearly change, it is the fastest rise of the 8 completed terms since 1977.

CarterJimmy Carter (Democratic)ReaganRonald Reagan (Republican)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)6%8%10%12%14%16%18%20%19741976197819801982Oct 6, 1979 · Federal Reserve: Volcker Fed shifts to targeting money supply

Average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey), weekly survey averaged by month. Follows long-term Treasury yields and the Federal Reserve's policy more than anything a president does directly. Source: Freddie Mac, via FRED MORTGAGE30US. Monthly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026. The chart runs from four years before the term to two years after it.

Mortgage rates under Carter, year by year

Highest reading during the term: 16.33% in Apr 1980. Lowest: 8.67% in Feb 1977.

PeriodValueChange
Dec 1976, before inauguration8.79%
Dec 19778.96%+0.17 pts
Dec 197810.35%+1.39 pts
Dec 197912.90%+2.55 pts
Dec 198014.79%+1.89 pts

Mortgage rates under every president

Terms sorted by yearly change, fastest rise first, each next to the trend over the four years before it. A term's first year mostly reflects the previous administration's policies, and Congress, the Fed and the world economy move this number too. Why nothing here is a score.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
8.79% → 14.79%
+1.50 pts/yr
+0.34 pts/yr
Joe Biden
2021–2025
2.68% → 6.72%
+1.01 pts/yr
−0.38 pts/yr
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–present
6.72% → 6.86%
+0.08 pts/yr · through Sep 2026
+1.01 pts/yr
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
8.21% → 7.38%
−0.10 pts/yr
−0.60 pts/yr
Barack Obama
2009–2017
5.29% → 4.20%
−0.14 pts/yr
−0.11 pts/yr
George W. Bush
2001–2009
7.38% → 5.29%
−0.26 pts/yr
−0.05 pts/yr
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
4.20% → 2.68%
−0.38 pts/yr
+0.21 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
14.79% → 10.61%
−0.52 pts/yr
+1.50 pts/yr
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
10.61% → 8.21%
−0.60 pts/yr
−0.64 pts/yr

Every term lined up from inauguration day on one chart · 30-year mortgage rate by president since 1980

Events during the term that bear on mortgage rates

  1. Oct 6, 1979 Federal Reserve
    Volcker Fed shifts to targeting money supply. The Federal Reserve under Paul Volcker lets interest rates soar to break inflation, setting up the 1980–82 recessions.

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