Govargus

Households

30-year mortgage rate by president

Average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey), weekly survey averaged by month. Follows long-term Treasury yields and the Federal Reserve's policy more than anything a president does directly.

7.36% latest, Oct 2026

Jimmy Carter (Democratic)ReaganRonald Reagan (Republican)BushGeorge H. W. Bush (Republican)ClintonBill Clinton (Democratic)BushGeorge W. Bush (Republican)ObamaBarack Obama (Democratic)TrumpDonald Trump (1st term) (Republican)BidenJoe Biden (Democratic)Donald Trump (2nd term) (Republican)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)0%5%10%15%20%1980198519901995200020052010201520202025Mar 16, 2022 · Federal Reserve: Fed begins raising rates

Source: Freddie Mac, via FRED MORTGAGE30US. Monthly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026.

Since 1980, the average 30-year mortgage rate ranged from 2.68% in Dec 2020 under Donald Trump (1st term) to 18.45% in Oct 1981 under Ronald Reagan. Of the 8 completed terms with data, the average 30-year mortgage rate rose fastest under Jimmy Carter, at +1.50 pts/yr against +0.34 pts/yr in the four years before, and fell fastest under George H. W. Bush, at −0.60 pts/yr against −0.64 pts/yr in the four years before. So far under Donald Trump (2nd term), it has gone from 6.72% in Dec 2024 to 6.86% in Sep 2026.

By presidential term

30-year mortgage rate, term by term: every term lined up from inauguration on one chart.

Value at the last full period before inauguration and at the end of the term, with the yearly rate of change. The second column is the rate of change over the four years before the term: the trend they inherited. Remember the lag: a term's first year mostly reflects the previous one's policies.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–now
6.72% → 6.86%
+0.08 pts/yr · through Sep 2026
+1.01 pts/yr
Joe Biden
2021–2025
2.68% → 6.72%
+1.01 pts/yr
−0.38 pts/yr
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
4.20% → 2.68%
−0.38 pts/yr
+0.21 pts/yr
Barack Obama
2009–2017
5.29% → 4.20%
−0.14 pts/yr
−0.11 pts/yr
George W. Bush
2001–2009
7.38% → 5.29%
−0.26 pts/yr
−0.05 pts/yr
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
8.21% → 7.38%
−0.10 pts/yr
−0.60 pts/yr
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
10.61% → 8.21%
−0.60 pts/yr
−0.64 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
14.79% → 10.61%
−0.52 pts/yr
+1.50 pts/yr
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
8.79% → 14.79%
+1.50 pts/yr
+0.34 pts/yr

More households indicators

Events that bear on this indicator

  1. Mar 16, 2022 Federal Reserve
    Fed begins raising rates. First of eleven rate hikes over 2022–23 to fight post-pandemic inflation.