Govargus

Economy

Inflation by president (CPI, year over year)

Percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers versus the same month a year earlier.

3.7% latest, Sep 2026

Jimmy Carter (Democratic)ReaganRonald Reagan (Republican)BushGeorge H. W. Bush (Republican)ClintonBill Clinton (Democratic)BushGeorge W. Bush (Republican)ObamaBarack Obama (Democratic)TrumpDonald Trump (1st term) (Republican)BidenJoe Biden (Democratic)Donald Trump (2nd term) (Republican)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)−5%0%5%10%15%20%1980198519901995200020052010201520202025Jul 6, 2018 · Trade: Section 301 tariffs on China beginMar 11, 2021 · Law: American Rescue PlanMar 16, 2022 · Federal Reserve: Fed begins raising ratesAug 16, 2022 · Law: Inflation Reduction ActApr 2, 2025 · Trade: Broad "reciprocal" tariffs announced

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED CPIAUCSL. Monthly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026.

Since 1980, inflation ranged from −2.0% in Jul 2009 under Barack Obama to 14.6% in Mar 1980 under Jimmy Carter. Of the 8 completed terms with data, inflation averaged highest under Jimmy Carter, at 9.8% against 8.1% in the four years before, and lowest under Barack Obama, at 1.4% against 3.3% in the four years before. So far under Donald Trump (2nd term), it has averaged 3.0%.

By presidential term

Inflation (CPI, year over year), term by term: every term lined up from inauguration on one chart.

Average during each term, next to the average over the four years before it. Remember the lag: a term's first year mostly reflects the previous one's policies.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–now
avg 3.0% so faravg 5.0%
Joe Biden
2021–2025
avg 5.0%avg 1.9%
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
avg 1.9%avg 1.1%
Barack Obama
2009–2017
avg 1.4%avg 3.3%
George W. Bush
2001–2009
avg 2.8%avg 2.3%
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
avg 2.6%avg 4.4%
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
avg 4.4%avg 3.3%
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
avg 4.6%avg 9.8%
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
avg 9.8%avg 8.1%

More economy indicators

Events that bear on this indicator

  1. Apr 2, 2025 Trade
    Broad "reciprocal" tariffs announced. A baseline 10% tariff on most imports plus higher country-specific rates, several later paused or renegotiated.
  2. Aug 16, 2022 Law
    Inflation Reduction Act. Clean-energy tax credits, Medicare drug-price negotiation and a corporate minimum tax.
  3. Mar 16, 2022 Federal Reserve
    Fed begins raising rates. First of eleven rate hikes over 2022–23 to fight post-pandemic inflation.
  4. Mar 11, 2021 Law
    American Rescue Plan. About $1.9 trillion in relief, including a temporarily expanded child tax credit and larger ACA premium subsidies.
  5. Jul 6, 2018 Trade
    Section 301 tariffs on China begin. First 25% tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese imports; China retaliates and the trade war escalates through 2019.