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Presidents › George W. Bush

Unemployment under George W. Bush

Unemployment rate · Republican · Jan 20, 2001 – Jan 20, 2009

Under George W. Bush, the unemployment rate went from 3.9% in Dec 2000 to 7.3% in Dec 2008, up 3.4 pts. That is +0.43 pts/yr, against −0.38 pts/yr in the four years before. Ranked by yearly change, it is the 3rd-fastest rise of the 8 completed terms since 1977.

ClintonBill Clinton (Democratic)BushGeorge W. Bush (Republican)ObamaBarack Obama (Democratic)Recession (NBER)Recession (NBER)3%4%5%6%7%8%9%10%11%1998200020022004200620082010Sep 15, 2008 · Shock: Lehman Brothers collapsesFeb 17, 2009 · Law: American Recovery and Reinvestment Act

Share of the labor force that is jobless and actively looking for work (U-3, seasonally adjusted). Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, via FRED UNRATE. Monthly data, fetched Oct 19, 2026. The chart runs from four years before the term to two years after it.

Unemployment under Bush, year by year

Highest reading during the term: 7.3% in Dec 2008. Lowest: 3.9% in Dec 2000.

PeriodValueChange
Dec 2000, before inauguration3.9%
Dec 20015.7%+1.8 pts
Dec 20026.0%+0.3 pts
Dec 20035.7%−0.3 pts
Dec 20045.4%−0.3 pts
Dec 20054.9%−0.5 pts
Dec 20064.4%−0.5 pts
Dec 20075.0%+0.6 pts
Dec 20087.3%+2.3 pts

Unemployment under every president

Terms sorted by yearly change, fastest rise first, each next to the trend over the four years before it. A term's first year mostly reflects the previous administration's policies, and Congress, the Fed and the world economy move this number too. Why nothing here is a score.

PresidentDuring term4 years before
George H. W. Bush
1989–1993
5.3% → 7.4%
+0.53 pts/yr
−0.50 pts/yr
Donald Trump (1st term)
2017–2021
4.7% → 6.7%
+0.50 pts/yr
−0.80 pts/yr
George W. Bush
2001–2009
3.9% → 7.3%
+0.43 pts/yr
−0.38 pts/yr
Donald Trump (2nd term)
2025–present
4.1% → 4.2%
+0.06 pts/yr · through Sep 2026
−0.65 pts/yr
Jimmy Carter
1977–1981
7.8% → 7.2%
−0.15 pts/yr
+0.65 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan
1981–1989
7.2% → 5.3%
−0.24 pts/yr
−0.15 pts/yr
Barack Obama
2009–2017
7.3% → 4.7%
−0.32 pts/yr
+0.47 pts/yr
Bill Clinton
1993–2001
7.4% → 3.9%
−0.44 pts/yr
+0.53 pts/yr
Joe Biden
2021–2025
6.7% → 4.1%
−0.65 pts/yr
+0.50 pts/yr

Every term lined up from inauguration day on one chart · Unemployment rate by president since 1980

Events during the term that bear on unemployment

  1. Sep 15, 2008 Shock
    Lehman Brothers collapses. The financial crisis peaks; the Great Recession deepens.

More under George W. Bush