Violent crime rate, term by term
Every term lined up from its inauguration. Context is everything: compare the start of a term with the trend it inherited and with what was happening in the world (recessions, pandemics), all of which are on the full violent crime rate chart.
Of the 7 completed terms with data, the violent crime rate rose fastest under George H. W. Bush, at +29 per 100k/yr against +25 per 100k/yr in the four years before, and fell fastest under Bill Clinton, at −31 per 100k/yr against +29 per 100k/yr in the four years before. So far under Donald Trump (2nd term), it has gone from 363 per 100k in 2024 to 328 per 100k in 2025.
Numbers
| President | During term | 4 years before |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump (2nd term) | 363 per 100k → 328 per 100k −35 per 100k/yr · through 2025 | −9 per 100k/yr |
| Joe Biden | 399 per 100k → 363 per 100k −9 per 100k/yr | 0 per 100k/yr |
| Donald Trump (1st term) | 398 per 100k → 399 per 100k 0 per 100k/yr | +2 per 100k/yr |
| Barack Obama | 459 per 100k → 398 per 100k −8 per 100k/yr | −1 per 100k/yr |
| George W. Bush | 507 per 100k → 459 per 100k −6 per 100k/yr | −33 per 100k/yr |
| Bill Clinton | 758 per 100k → 507 per 100k −31 per 100k/yr | +29 per 100k/yr |
| George H. W. Bush | 641 per 100k → 758 per 100k +29 per 100k/yr | +25 per 100k/yr |
| Ronald Reagan | 597 per 100k → 641 per 100k +5 per 100k/yr | — |
| Jimmy Carter | no data | no data |