Govargus

Compare

Labor force participation, term by term

Every term lined up from its inauguration. Context is everything: compare the start of a term with the trend it inherited and with what was happening in the world (recessions, pandemics), all of which are on the full labor force participation chart.

Highlight up to three terms
−4−3−2−10+1+2+3+4Inauguration12345678Years in officeJimmy CarterCarter ’77–’81Ronald ReaganReagan ’81–’89George H. W. BushBush ’89–’93Bill ClintonClinton ’93–’01George W. BushBush ’01–’09Barack ObamaObama ’09–’17Donald Trump (1st term)Trump ’17–’21Joe BidenBiden ’21–’25Donald Trump (2nd term)Trump ’25– (so far)

Change since the last full month before inauguration, so every term starts at zero. Second terms continue past year 4.

Of the 8 completed terms with data, labor force participation rose fastest under Jimmy Carter, at +0.45 pts/yr against +0.32 pts/yr in the four years before, and fell fastest under Barack Obama, at −0.39 pts/yr against −0.03 pts/yr in the four years before. So far under Donald Trump (2nd term), it has gone from 62.5% in Dec 2024 to 61.8% in Sep 2026.

Numbers

PresidentDuring term4 years before
Donald Trump (2nd term)62.5% → 61.8%
−0.40 pts/yr · through Sep 2026
+0.25 pts/yr
Joe Biden61.5% → 62.5%
+0.25 pts/yr
−0.30 pts/yr
Donald Trump (1st term)62.7% → 61.5%
−0.30 pts/yr
−0.25 pts/yr
Barack Obama65.8% → 62.7%
−0.39 pts/yr
−0.03 pts/yr
George W. Bush67.0% → 65.8%
−0.15 pts/yr
0.00 pts/yr
Bill Clinton66.3% → 67.0%
+0.09 pts/yr
+0.05 pts/yr
George H. W. Bush66.1% → 66.3%
+0.05 pts/yr
+0.38 pts/yr
Ronald Reagan63.6% → 66.1%
+0.31 pts/yr
+0.45 pts/yr
Jimmy Carter61.8% → 63.6%
+0.45 pts/yr
+0.32 pts/yr