# Economy, crime and health under Donald Trump (2nd term), 2025–present

Source page: https://govargus.com/presidents/trump-2025

Republican · Jan 20, 2025 – present

Each indicator shows how it changed during the term next to the four years before it. A term's first year mostly reflects the previous administration's policies, and Congress, the Federal Reserve and the world economy move these numbers too. Govargus describes; it does not score presidents.

## Economy

| Indicator | During term | 4 years before |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Unemployment rate | 4.1% → 4.2% (+0.06 pts/yr, through Sep 2026) | −0.65 pts/yr |
| Nonfarm payroll jobs | 158.3 million jobs → 159.0 million jobs (+0.42 million jobs/yr, through Sep 2026) | +3.94 million jobs/yr |
| Real GDP growth | avg 2.6% so far | avg 3.1% |
| Inflation (CPI, year over year) | avg 3.0% so far | avg 5.0% |
| Labor force participation | 62.5% → 61.8% (−0.40 pts/yr, through Sep 2026) | +0.25 pts/yr |

## Households

| Indicator | During term | 4 years before |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Real median weekly earnings (1982–84 $) | $374 → $378 (+$3/yr, through Q2 2026) | −$1/yr |
| Gasoline price (regular, per gallon) | $3.15 → $4.48 (+$0.76/yr, through Sep 2026) | +$0.24/yr |
| Egg prices (grade A large, per dozen) | $4.15 → $2.27 (−$1.07/yr, through Sep 2026) | +$0.67/yr |
| 30-year mortgage rate | 6.72% → 6.86% (+0.08 pts/yr, through Sep 2026) | +1.01 pts/yr |
| Real median household income | $85,210 → $87,460 (+$2,245/yr, through 2025) | +$405/yr |
| Poverty rate | no data | no data |

## Federal budget

| Indicator | During term | 4 years before |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Federal surplus or deficit (% of GDP) | no data | no data |
| Federal debt (% of GDP) | 121.4% → 122.6% (+0.93 pts/yr, through Q1 2026) | −1.05 pts/yr |
| National debt (dollars) | $36.22 trillion → $39.46 trillion (+$2.17 trillion/yr, through Q2 2026) | +$2.12 trillion/yr |

## Public safety

| Indicator | During term | 4 years before |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Violent crime rate | 363 per 100k → 328 per 100k (−35 per 100k/yr, through 2025) | −9 per 100k/yr |
| Property crime rate | 1,761 per 100k → 1,535 per 100k (−226 per 100k/yr, through 2025) | −49 per 100k/yr |
| Murder rate | 5.1 per 100k → 4.1 per 100k (−0.94 per 100k/yr, through 2025) | −0.37 per 100k/yr |
| Firearm death rate | 12.8 per 100k → 12.4 per 100k (−0.80 per 100k/yr, through Jun 2025) | −0.20 per 100k/yr |

## Health

| Indicator | During term | 4 years before |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Life expectancy at birth | no data | no data |
| Drug overdose death rate | 23.1 per 100k → 20.8 per 100k (−4.62 per 100k/yr, through Jun 2025) | −1.30 per 100k/yr |
| Uninsured rate | no data | no data |

## Policy record

- Substantive public laws signed: 119; plus 5 naming or commemorative
- Executive orders signed: 289

## Tracked events during the term

- Apr 2, 2025, trade: Broad "reciprocal" tariffs announced. A baseline 10% tariff on most imports plus higher country-specific rates, several later paused or renegotiated.
- Jul 4, 2025, law: One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Makes the 2017 individual tax cuts permanent, adds new deductions and cuts Medicaid and SNAP spending.